What is the Last Wave?
This very short book presents a speculative perspective on the development of civilization relative to the so-called Information Age, which I think is erroneously named. It provides a historical perspective on the evolution of civilized industrial societies as they now approach the more properly named new age, the Telecomputerization Age.
It presents an intriguing theory of the economic, industrial, and social development within the United States over the last 200 years, and the paper extends this theory to other countries, groups, etc. of similar capitalistic economies.
The book also demonstrates how an extrapolation of the theory into the future can predict future major military conflicts for the US and possibly globally. Predictions are made on the substitution of new trends for old ones, what the implications are, and how these trends are already being manifested at many enterprises.
The book defines what I mean by the term Telecomputerization Age and it will daringly extend trends from its historical analysis to a prediction of the future for the whole of civilization, the major workforces of the U.S. Finally, it will provide a few insights about what this may mean for the future of organizations.
The intent of the book is to introduce you to a much broader perspective when making decisions about the future and the prediction of future technologies.
This document addresses some of the issues of extreme importance to the future of most enterprises and particularly those whose concern is information acquisition, transmission, and production. The intent of the author is to offer a logical, coherent and supportable explanation for the conclusions drawn.
It is also to be noted that the intent is not to predict from the evidences offered an unequivocal explanation of future events, but to instead offer an argumentatively plausible one.
To this end, the following questions are tendered with their answers given within the conclusion:
- Why must and will there be a corporate culture change at most info related businesses (and possibly all businesses) and in what ways?
- Why will management become flatter at enterprises, and how shall tasking structures of their workforces be formed to do useful work?
- What are some of the new priorities and how are some of our old priorities changing? Intellectual capital (IC) is fast becoming a commodity.
- What can be said about future alliances of successful organizations with respect to the future “telecomputerization” economic powers of tomorrow?
- Is there some evidence that we (U.S.) have at least eight years (~2005) and most likely between 2010 to 2018 to get our act together before the stress of a major war may occur, and for which our best capabilities would be required?
- Finally, do government agencies and all enterprises need to emphasize a more positive public image of being committed to helping the public (business customers as well as our military) to assure the security of their most private data and communications?
- More Thoughts on the Last Wave? (allenreeves.wordpress.com)
- Do we need to be able to predict the future? (alecblair.ca)
- IDC Manufacturing Insights releases Top 10 Predictions for 2014 (pacetoday.com.au)
- Popular physicist says tech tidal wave coming ; He calls it a fourth wave of technological innovation (hispanicbusiness.com)
- INFOGRAPHIC: 10 predictions for the future of the SMSF Industry (thedunnthing.com)